Market-path research — 3 Sep 2026 01:55 Europe/London

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# Market-path research — 3 Sep 2026 01:55 Europe/London

Not a P move. No path named. No customer named.
Did not re-read Companies House company 16892858.
Did not repeat last recon hour: Liberis / www.liberis.com (3 Sep 00:55 Companies in the space). Do not re-use Liberis as primary.
Also did not repeat as primary: Capital Enterprise, YouLend, Bethnal Green Ventures, Seedcamp, Angel Investment Network, Assetz Capital, ThinCats, Antler, LawCare, MarketFinance, ONS Vacancies and jobs, MSA s.54, StreetLink, Turn2us, Centrepoint, Crisis, Shelter, ONS labour-market overview, Funding Circle, iwoca, BGF, Entrepreneur First, Founders Factory, Crowdcube, Seedrs, SyndicateRoom, UK GDPR, CRA, CCR, PECR, GEM UK, LSBS, BoE CCS, BoE ASBC, ONS BICS, PAYE RTI, BBB SBFM, CH April–June 2026, Google for Startups, Santander Breakthrough, Advicelocal, Youth Access, ATJF, AdviceNow, Refuge, Women's Aid, CPAG. Explicitly did not re-open Liberis / Capital Enterprise / YouLend / Bethnal Green Ventures / Seedcamp / Angel Investment Network / Assetz Capital / ThinCats / Antler / LawCare / MarketFinance / Vacancies / MSA s.54 / StreetLink / ONS labour-market overview as primary. Prefer Average weekly earnings this hour (named preferred unused Market-discovery sibling left unused at 00:55 Liberis, and earlier at 11:55 Vacancies). Distinct from 14:20 compile (e834b2f2, 0 candidates, blocker reach) and from 15:36 reach-story/stats (58cd58c1). Distinct from ONS Vacancies and jobs (2 Sep 11:55), ONS labour-market overview (2 Sep 00:55), PAYE RTI August 2026 (29 Aug 10:55), BoE ASBC July 2026 (30 Aug 07:55), ONS BICS Wave 162 (30 Aug 02:55). 08:55 already skipped ~11:55 (no reply by 10:25) — Status skipped / proceeded without new founder input. 10:55 this cycle did not fire (no research file, no hour-log row) — noted honestly; not FAIL previous hour missing (that rule is Progressive-plan only; no Progressive-plan row for this hour → standing recon 26e4abb6). 14:55 skipped (no reply by 16:25) — proceeded without new founder input; listed plan standing recon 26e4abb6, cut parked, Hermes parked, inbox stays. 17:15/17:25 close already ran at 17:32 — this hour does not re-close the cycle. 18:55 this cycle did not fire (no research file, no hour-log row) — noted honestly; not FAIL. Previous hour 00:55 EXISTS (Liberis) — FAIL-previous-hour rule is Progressive-plan only — do NOT write FAIL. Automation for this 01:55 hour fired ~01:58 London. Night of 2–3 Sep still running — no new overnight page this hour (overnight page is separate). Did not unpark/install customer cut 63e813ea. Did not write kpis/p-evidence.md. Did not promote UK pay / earnings / employees / public or private sector as an accepted market/path. Did not install the 12:48 productised hour-menu as a path. Did not invent a buyer from AWE pay figures. Did not treat Average weekly earnings as Vacancies, labour-market overview, or PAYE RTI. Did not switch primary to Refuge / Women's Aid / CPAG or a fresh companies-in-the-space host — Average weekly earnings apex cluster lives this hour (/latest and /august2026 HTTP 200). ONS has no company number — CH not opened. Did not invent a company number.

Area: Market discovery.
Verdict: stayed thin.
P unchanged.

## Searched
Prefer Market discovery this hour — Average weekly earnings in Great Britain (ONS) / www.ons.gov.uk …/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/latest (and /august2026). Why this source now: destination $2.5–5bn; first-customer cut parked (63e813ea); live gate still cannot compile path candidates (e834b2f2 compile 0; blocker still REACH — how a first professional hour is found and sold); last recon hour was Liberis Companies in the space; this hour leaves that category and files the named Average weekly earnings Market-discovery sibling left unused at 00:55 / 11:55 for UK pay SIZE/CONDITIONS without inventing a buyer. Hold = no invention, not no recon. Not a FYJ path. Not P. This hour works REACH-channel market-discovery filing on the live compile-paths gate and does not invent a buyer to close it. Stay category Market discovery — primary Average weekly earnings cluster lives (prefer /latest; /august2026 same live HTML size this hour). Fallbacks not switched to: Refuge / Women's Aid (Competitor-mapping unused siblings from LawCare hour) — not switched (AWE primary lived). Fresh unused companies-in-the-space / market-scenarios hosts left for later — not this hour's primary.

## HTTP inventory
- Apex HTTPS https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/latest — first-hop HTTP 200 size 88518 content-type text/html;charset=utf-8. Title: Average weekly earnings in Great Britain - Office for National Statistics. H1/body printed: Average weekly earnings in Great Britain: August 2026; Estimates of growth in earnings for employees before tax and other deductions from pay; Contact Labour Market team labour.market@ons.gov.uk; Release date: 18 August 2026; Next release: 15 September 2026. Main points for April to June 2026: annual growth regular earnings 3.5% (excluding bonuses) and total earnings 4.1% (including bonuses); real terms CPIH 0.5% regular / 1.1% total; real terms CPI 0.7% regular / 1.3% total; public-sector regular 6.1% / private-sector regular 2.8%; after public sector, wholesaling, retailing, hotels and restaurants strongest regular annual growth 3.5%. AWE estimated £755 total and £703 regular in June 2026. Survey: Monthly Wages and Salaries Survey ~9,000 employers / ~12.8 million employees in Great Britain; response rate 87.5% for June 2026. Cite: Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 18 August 2026, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Average weekly earnings in Great Britain: August 2026. Telephone +44 1633 456120.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/august2026 — HTTP 200 size 88518 (same live HTML cluster as /latest this hour).
- http://www.ons.gov.uk/…/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/latest — first-hop HTTP 301 Location https://www.ons.gov.uk/…/latest.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/previousreleases — HTTP 200 size 62411. Title: Previous releases for Average weekly earnings in Great Britain - Office for National Statistics.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/august2026/pdf — HTTP 200 size 1979334 content-type application/pdf.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours — HTTP 200 size 69303. Title: Earnings and working hours - Office for National Statistics. Hub surfaces the August 2026 AWE bulletin.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/averageweeklyearnings/current — HTTP 200 size 518106 (timeseries dataset page).
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/averageweeklyearningsearn01 — HTTP 200 size 42035. Title: EARN01: Average weekly earnings - Office for National Statistics.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/averageweeklyearningsbysectorearn02 — HTTP 200 size 42233. Title: EARN02: Average weekly earnings by sector.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/averageweeklyearningsbyindustryearn03 — HTTP 200 size 42268. Title: EARN03: Average weekly earnings by industry.
- https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus — HTTP 200 size 34559. Title: About us - Office for National Statistics. No UK Companies House company number printed — CH not opened.
- Wrong peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/datasets/averageweeklyearningsearn01 and …/averageweeklyearningsbysectorearn02 — HTTP 404 size 27061 (correct live datasets sit under earningsandworkinghours/datasets/…).
- Named september2026 under the AWE bulletin path — HTTP 404 size 27061 (next release printed 15 September 2026; not a live September bulletin this hour).
- Guessed X09 real-earnings dataset slug under earningsandworkinghours/datasets/x09realaverageweeklyearningsusingconsumerpriceinflation — HTTP 404 size 27061 this hour; bulletin names X09 but the exact live HTML slug was not confirmed — do not invent a live X09 page.
- Named ONS apex short paths HTTP 404 size ~1028xx this hour: /about /privacy /contact /pricing /fees /apply /latest /august2026 /july2026 (these are not the bulletin paths).
- Later hops this hour (hub-without-month, july2026, some wrong dataset guesses, repeat /latest after burst) hit HTTP 429 size 17 rate-limit — not treated as evidence the August 2026 bulletin is missing; /latest and /august2026 already returned HTTP 200 size 88518.

Did not invent a FYJ buyer from UK employees, public/private sector pay, wholesaling/retailing/hotels/restaurants, construction, finance, or manufacturing growth rates. Named short-path / wrong-folder 404s are not a missing live August bulletin. An ONS pay SIZE/CONDITIONS bulletin is not a FYJ product catalogue. Do not invent an ONS company number. Did not open 16892858.

## What stands
- Live Average weekly earnings market-discovery cluster: /latest HTTP 200 size 88518 title Average weekly earnings in Great Britain + /august2026 same size; previousreleases 62411; PDF /august2026/pdf 1979334 application/pdf; earningsandworkinghours hub 69303; timeseries averageweeklyearnings/current 518106; EARN01 42035; EARN02 42233; EARN03 42268; aboutus 34559 (no CH number); http→https 301; wrong employmentandemployeetypes dataset folders 404; named september2026 404; guessed X09 slug 404; apex short paths 404; later burst hops 429.
- Printed release facts: August 2026 bulletin; release 18 August 2026; next 15 September 2026; Apr–Jun 2026 regular 3.5% / total 4.1%; real CPIH 0.5%/1.1%; real CPI 0.7%/1.3%; public regular 6.1% / private regular 2.8%; AWE June 2026 £755 total / £703 regular; MWSS ~9,000 employers / ~12.8m employees; June response 87.5%.
- Market-discovery UK pay SIZE/CONDITIONS lane next to Vacancies, labour-market overview, PAYE RTI, BoE ASBC, BICS. Not a FYJ market path.
- Employees / public / private sector / industry growth rates are labour-market conditions — not who FYJ sells to.

## What does not stand
- No page names a FYJ customer, market, offer, or P.
- UK employees, public-sector workers, private-sector workers, and sector growth rates are pay conditions, not a FYJ buyer.
- An Average weekly earnings statistical bulletin is not a FYJ market path.
- Naming “FYJ for UK employees / payroll / HR / employers facing pay growth” is inventing a customer — banned.
- Do not invent a live September 2026 bulletin (named september2026 404; next release 15 Sep). Do not invent a live X09 HTML from a guessed slug. Do not invent an ONS company number. Do not re-file Liberis / Capital Enterprise / YouLend / Vacancies / labour-market overview / PAYE RTI as primary. Do not switch primary to Refuge. Do not open 16892858.
- Who / why / how / next all missing. No candidate this hour has even a partial who / why / how. End-to-end stays missing. Productised-menu context from 12:48 does not fill those blanks. Compile stays 0 (e834b2f2); reach blocker not closed by filing another UK pay SIZE/CONDITIONS host. Stayed thin as a path.

## End-to-end test
- Who it is for: missing.
- Why they would pay: missing.
- How FYJ reaches them: missing (an ONS Average weekly earnings bulletin is how the public reads UK pay size and conditions, not how FYJ reaches a named buyer).
- What sits next: missing.
No real public fact this hour filled any of the four. Do not invent the rest. The AWE pages (+ EARN01/02/03 + PDF + previousreleases + aboutus) fill a Market discovery cell (UK pay SIZE/CONDITIONS). They do not fill a path cell. They do not install the productised-menu bucket. They do not pad compile candidates. Compile stays 0.

## Value-forming
The Market discovery line got another UK labour / pay SIZE/CONDITIONS filing (Average weekly earnings after Vacancies, labour-market overview, PAYE RTI, BoE ASBC, BICS). Value has not started to form as a FYJ path. A pay bulletin is not a path. Adjacent market-discovery filings still leave who / why / how / next empty.

## Result
No path named yet. Market discovery stayed thin. P unchanged. Average weekly earnings primary cluster lives — no switch to Refuge / Women's Aid. CH not opened (no company number on ONS pages).

## Unused fallbacks named for NEXT hour
1. Competitor-mapping unused existence notes from earlier: Refuge / Women's Aid (left unused at 13:55 LawCare; still unused). Do not switch if AWE lives (it did).
2. Prefer a fresh unused Companies in the space OR Market scenarios host NOT already banned (e.g. genuinely unused perimeter such as Growth Capital Partners / Haatch / Notion Capital only if still unused next hour — verify before primary). Do not re-use Liberis / Capital Enterprise / YouLend / Bethnal Green Ventures / Seedcamp / Angel Investment Network / Assetz Capital / ThinCats / Antler / LawCare / MarketFinance / Vacancies / Average weekly earnings / MSA s.54 / StreetLink / ONS labour-market overview as primary next hour.
3. Do not fake unpublished ONS UK business activity, size and location 2026 (provisional 24 Sep 2026). Do not re-read AWE /latest or Liberis as primary.
4. Prefer a fresh unused perimeter next hour rather than re-filing AWE datasets in depth as a path.

## Confirmation
Contract UUID 26e4abb6-3b66-4a66-a4f7-d4c065ad9233 is live. Hold = no invention, not no recon. Standing work is recon until end-to-end paths emerge and value-forming is visible. No path named. P unchanged. Customer cut parked.
One line: 63e813ea is live (parked).
e834b2f2 compile still 0; blocker still reach. 58cd58c1 Founder View is the story. 06657cd0 pages shareable. f7c2a04e voice walk. c7b2e14a short Evidence. Hermes parked. Slot unchanged. Layer unchanged (Peer toggle: Founder View ↔ Agent View).
08:55 already skipped ~11:55 (no reply by 10:25) — proceeded without new founder input. 10:55 did not fire this cycle (no file, no hour-log row) — noted; not FAIL. 14:55 skipped (no reply by 16:25) — proceeded without new founder input; listed plan standing recon 26e4abb6, cut parked, Hermes parked, inbox stays. 17:15/17:25 close already ran at 17:32 — not re-closed this hour. 18:55 did not fire this cycle (no file, no hour-log row) — noted honestly; not FAIL (Progressive-plan only). Previous hour 00:55 EXISTS — not FAIL. Automation for 01:55 fired ~01:58 London. Night of 2–3 Sep still running — no new overnight page this hour.