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Market-path research — 28 Aug 2026 13:55 Europe/London

Not a P move. No path named. No customer named.
Did not re-read Companies House company 16892858.
Did not repeat last recon hour: Chartered Institute of Taxation Achievements in 2025 / ATT homepage / Choosing a Tax Adviser / Find a CIOT Member / Find an ATT Member.
Also did not repeat: Making Tax Digital for Income Tax / Find out if and when / collection / Sign up / business-population statistics commentary; ICAEW as a probate and oaths regulator / ICAEW probate services hub / 2025 Probate and Oaths Monitoring Results / 2025 Probate and Oaths Financial Results; Help to Grow: Management / British Business Bank Help to Grow guidance / Growth Guarantee Scheme / Chancellor 13 July 2026 expansion news; HMRC Trust Registration Service / Check if you need to register a trust / Register a trust / Trusts and taxes: When you must register a trust; DSIT R&D allocations 2025/2026 / UKRI annual report and accounts 2025 to 2026 / Smart Grants / GOV.UK Apply for innovation funding; ACCA Report on Regulation 2025 / Find an accountant; HMRC Research and Development Tax Credits Statistics September 2025 as the same pages; Faculty Office / Master of the Faculties / Notaries Core Metrics / AML Annual Supervisor’s Report 2025; GOV.UK Accounts and tax returns / Corporation Tax / File confirmation statement; HMRC tax-adviser ASA / MMTAR; GOV.UK Register for VAT / Register as an employer as the same pages; HMRC EIS and SEIS: 2026; British Business Bank Start Up Loans as the same pages; OPBAS 22 PBSs / over 41,400 supervised as the same pages; CLSB Costs Lawyer home / cost of regulation; DBT BPE 2025; ACRA members list / FAQs; CGIUKI Public Practice / Members Directory; Insolvency Act 1986 s.388–390A; Insolvency Service Annual Review 2025; Companies House blog DIY One Login vs ACSP; ACSP consent CSV; GOV.UK set-up-business / closing-a-limited-company; BSB Diversity at the Bar 2025; ONS Business demography 2024; HMRC TCSP 1,553 as the same pages; IPReg; GOV.UK accounts software; CILEx; LSB £52.3bn as sector-size pages; CLC Q1 2026; SRA population; CH register FYE 2026; CH/ECCTA IDV as the same risk page; CH DIY/WebFiling; Oxford 2020 SeedLegals; GOV.UK setup class map; LSA reserved as the same risk pages; Law Society+ICAEW directories as the same pages; ACSP+MCA companies-in-space (22:22); ONS M/N size; SIC neighbours.

Area: Market discovery.
Verdict: stayed thin.
P unchanged.

Searched

Prefer Market discovery this hour (last filed 28 Aug 04:55 HMRC R&D Tax Credits Statistics September 2025) after Companies in the space filled at 12:55 with CIOT / ATT. Unused official source: HMRC Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 — VAT-registered trader population, receipts, and registrations. Not another professional-body membership (CIOT / ATT filled that at 12:55). Not another running-the-company tax-reporting fork (MTD filled that at 11:55). Not another approved-regulator headcount (ICAEW probate filled that at 10:55). Not the 00:55 VAT registration-threshold fork as the same pages; this hour is the official population size next to that fork.

Value Added Tax (VAT) annual statistics collection: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics — HTTP 200 (last updated 3 December 2025)
Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 commentary: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics/annual-uk-vat-statistics-2023-to-2024-commentary — HTTP 200
Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 background and references: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics/annual-uk-vat-statistics-2023-to-2024-background-and-references — HTTP 200

Did not treat “VAT-registered traders”, “incorporated companies on the VAT register”, “sole proprietors on the VAT register”, or “businesses over the £90,000 threshold” as a FYJ customer. Did not invent a “FYJ does VAT registration” product. Did not ask for a forbidden-market list. The 00:55 GOV.UK Register for VAT / VAT thresholds pages were not re-opened as the same pages; this hour is HMRC’s Official Statistics population, not a second registration-fork pass. The 04:55 R&D Tax Credits Statistics pages were not re-opened as the same pages.

What stands

Collection (HTTP 200): HMRC Official Statistics; last updated 3 December 2025. Documents: 2024 to 2025 commentary (HTML), tables (ODS), background and references (HTML).
Commentary (HTTP 200): financial year 2024 to 2025. Total VAT receipts £171 billion (+2% vs £168 billion). VAT population 2,330,400, with 234,000 new registrations and 218,000 de-registrations in-year, resulting in 2,285,900 live traders. Total net Home VAT liability £177 billion. Wholesale and Retail the largest contributor to net Home VAT liability (32% / £57 billion). Traders with annual turnover greater than £10 million paid 75% of total net Home VAT liability (£133 billion).
Population detail (same commentary): VAT population 2,330,400 is 11,400 higher than 2023 to 2024. Wholesale and Retail 511,300 traders (22%); Construction 349,600; Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 336,200. Incorporated companies 1,766,000 (76% of the VAT population); sole proprietors 334,100; partnerships 181,300. The £1 to threshold band has the most traders: 683,700 (29%). 38% of traders declared annual turnover up to and including the VAT registration threshold (£90,000 in 2024 to 2025).
Background (HTTP 200): published 03 December 2025 at 9:30am; next release covering 2025 to 2026 winter 2026. Active traders = live at 31 March of the financial year or who had submitted a non-nil return during the financial year.
These sit next to earlier Market discovery size series (R&D claim volumes, EIS/SEIS company counts, DBT BPE legal-form stock, ONS demography, LSB sector revenue, CH register activities, ONS industry size, SIC neighbours) and next to the 00:55 Market scenarios VAT-threshold fork. A VAT-registered trader count is the size of the VAT population, not who FYJ sells to. Not a path.

What does not stand

A 2,330,400 VAT-population count, or a 2,285,900 live-trader stock, is not a FYJ market path.
Naming “VAT-registered traders”, “incorporated companies on the VAT register”, or “businesses over the £90,000 threshold” is not naming a FYJ customer.
This is a different official map from the 00:55 VAT registration-threshold fork and from the 04:55 R&D Tax Credits size series. This hour is VAT-population size, not a second Register-for-VAT pass and not a second R&D-claim filing.
CIOT / ATT (12:55) remains a prior Companies in the space filing. This hour does not re-file those pages.
Tide Platform Ltd remains an ACSP identity check, not a FYJ customer.
No candidate this hour has even a partial who / why / how. End-to-end stays missing.

End-to-end test

Who it is for: missing.
Why they would pay: missing.
How FYJ reaches them: missing.
What sits next: missing.
No real public fact this hour filled any of the four. Do not invent the rest. The HMRC Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 pages fill a Market discovery cell (VAT-registered trader population size next to BPE / ONS / CH register and next to the 00:55 VAT fork). They do not fill a path cell.

Value-forming

The Market discovery line stayed thin. Value has not started to form as a FYJ path. A 2,330,400 trader population and a 2,285,900 live-trader stock are not a path. Adjacent size series still leave who / why / how / next empty.

Result

No path named yet. Market discovery stayed thin. P unchanged.

# Market-path research — 28 Aug 2026 13:55 Europe/London Not a P move. No path named. No customer named. Did not re-read Companies House company 16892858. Did not repeat last recon hour: Chartered Institute of Taxation Achievements in 2025 / ATT homepage / Choosing a Tax Adviser / Find a CIOT Member / Find an ATT Member. Also did not repeat: Making Tax Digital for Income Tax / Find out if and when / collection / Sign up / business-population statistics commentary; ICAEW as a probate and oaths regulator / ICAEW probate services hub / 2025 Probate and Oaths Monitoring Results / 2025 Probate and Oaths Financial Results; Help to Grow: Management / British Business Bank Help to Grow guidance / Growth Guarantee Scheme / Chancellor 13 July 2026 expansion news; HMRC Trust Registration Service / Check if you need to register a trust / Register a trust / Trusts and taxes: When you must register a trust; DSIT R&D allocations 2025/2026 / UKRI annual report and accounts 2025 to 2026 / Smart Grants / GOV.UK Apply for innovation funding; ACCA Report on Regulation 2025 / Find an accountant; HMRC Research and Development Tax Credits Statistics September 2025 as the same pages; Faculty Office / Master of the Faculties / Notaries Core Metrics / AML Annual Supervisor’s Report 2025; GOV.UK Accounts and tax returns / Corporation Tax / File confirmation statement; HMRC tax-adviser ASA / MMTAR; GOV.UK Register for VAT / Register as an employer as the same pages; HMRC EIS and SEIS: 2026; British Business Bank Start Up Loans as the same pages; OPBAS 22 PBSs / over 41,400 supervised as the same pages; CLSB Costs Lawyer home / cost of regulation; DBT BPE 2025; ACRA members list / FAQs; CGIUKI Public Practice / Members Directory; Insolvency Act 1986 s.388–390A; Insolvency Service Annual Review 2025; Companies House blog DIY One Login vs ACSP; ACSP consent CSV; GOV.UK set-up-business / closing-a-limited-company; BSB Diversity at the Bar 2025; ONS Business demography 2024; HMRC TCSP 1,553 as the same pages; IPReg; GOV.UK accounts software; CILEx; LSB £52.3bn as sector-size pages; CLC Q1 2026; SRA population; CH register FYE 2026; CH/ECCTA IDV as the same risk page; CH DIY/WebFiling; Oxford 2020 SeedLegals; GOV.UK setup class map; LSA reserved as the same risk pages; Law Society+ICAEW directories as the same pages; ACSP+MCA companies-in-space (22:22); ONS M/N size; SIC neighbours. Area: Market discovery. Verdict: stayed thin. P unchanged. ## Searched Prefer Market discovery this hour (last filed 28 Aug 04:55 HMRC R&D Tax Credits Statistics September 2025) after Companies in the space filled at 12:55 with CIOT / ATT. Unused official source: HMRC Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 — VAT-registered trader population, receipts, and registrations. Not another professional-body membership (CIOT / ATT filled that at 12:55). Not another running-the-company tax-reporting fork (MTD filled that at 11:55). Not another approved-regulator headcount (ICAEW probate filled that at 10:55). Not the 00:55 VAT registration-threshold fork as the same pages; this hour is the official population size next to that fork. - Value Added Tax (VAT) annual statistics collection: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics — HTTP 200 (last updated 3 December 2025) - Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 commentary: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics/annual-uk-vat-statistics-2023-to-2024-commentary — HTTP 200 - Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 background and references: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/value-added-tax-vat-annual-statistics/annual-uk-vat-statistics-2023-to-2024-background-and-references — HTTP 200 Did not treat “VAT-registered traders”, “incorporated companies on the VAT register”, “sole proprietors on the VAT register”, or “businesses over the £90,000 threshold” as a FYJ customer. Did not invent a “FYJ does VAT registration” product. Did not ask for a forbidden-market list. The 00:55 GOV.UK Register for VAT / VAT thresholds pages were not re-opened as the same pages; this hour is HMRC’s Official Statistics population, not a second registration-fork pass. The 04:55 R&D Tax Credits Statistics pages were not re-opened as the same pages. ## What stands - Collection (HTTP 200): HMRC Official Statistics; last updated 3 December 2025. Documents: 2024 to 2025 commentary (HTML), tables (ODS), background and references (HTML). - Commentary (HTTP 200): financial year 2024 to 2025. Total VAT receipts £171 billion (+2% vs £168 billion). VAT population 2,330,400, with 234,000 new registrations and 218,000 de-registrations in-year, resulting in 2,285,900 live traders. Total net Home VAT liability £177 billion. Wholesale and Retail the largest contributor to net Home VAT liability (32% / £57 billion). Traders with annual turnover greater than £10 million paid 75% of total net Home VAT liability (£133 billion). - Population detail (same commentary): VAT population 2,330,400 is 11,400 higher than 2023 to 2024. Wholesale and Retail 511,300 traders (22%); Construction 349,600; Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 336,200. Incorporated companies 1,766,000 (76% of the VAT population); sole proprietors 334,100; partnerships 181,300. The £1 to threshold band has the most traders: 683,700 (29%). 38% of traders declared annual turnover up to and including the VAT registration threshold (£90,000 in 2024 to 2025). - Background (HTTP 200): published 03 December 2025 at 9:30am; next release covering 2025 to 2026 winter 2026. Active traders = live at 31 March of the financial year or who had submitted a non-nil return during the financial year. - These sit next to earlier Market discovery size series (R&D claim volumes, EIS/SEIS company counts, DBT BPE legal-form stock, ONS demography, LSB sector revenue, CH register activities, ONS industry size, SIC neighbours) and next to the 00:55 Market scenarios VAT-threshold fork. A VAT-registered trader count is the size of the VAT population, not who FYJ sells to. Not a path. ## What does not stand - A 2,330,400 VAT-population count, or a 2,285,900 live-trader stock, is not a FYJ market path. - Naming “VAT-registered traders”, “incorporated companies on the VAT register”, or “businesses over the £90,000 threshold” is not naming a FYJ customer. - This is a different official map from the 00:55 VAT registration-threshold fork and from the 04:55 R&D Tax Credits size series. This hour is VAT-population size, not a second Register-for-VAT pass and not a second R&D-claim filing. - CIOT / ATT (12:55) remains a prior Companies in the space filing. This hour does not re-file those pages. - Tide Platform Ltd remains an ACSP identity check, not a FYJ customer. - No candidate this hour has even a partial who / why / how. End-to-end stays missing. ## End-to-end test - Who it is for: missing. - Why they would pay: missing. - How FYJ reaches them: missing. - What sits next: missing. No real public fact this hour filled any of the four. Do not invent the rest. The HMRC Annual UK VAT statistics 2024 to 2025 pages fill a Market discovery cell (VAT-registered trader population size next to BPE / ONS / CH register and next to the 00:55 VAT fork). They do not fill a path cell. ## Value-forming The Market discovery line stayed thin. Value has not started to form as a FYJ path. A 2,330,400 trader population and a 2,285,900 live-trader stock are not a path. Adjacent size series still leave who / why / how / next empty. ## Result No path named yet. Market discovery stayed thin. P unchanged.